Asahi Shimbun Publishing Co. statistically chose the general election of ballot counting from 300 all small electoral districts at the both days of 18 and 19 on the 30th.

The telephone survey was executed for the voter in 150 small electoral districts, and information on the coverage net of the whole country also searched for the situation of the first stage of the electoral campaign in addition.

As a result,
(1)Democratic is power to exceed majority (241) greatly alone, and to look for 300 seat stand.
(2)The Liberal-Democratic Party is a possibility of not reaching to half the number of seat (300) before it elects it, and retreating more greatly because of it.
(3)In the proportional representation section, the almost last average and Shamin fight hard against fairness and communism a little. ――The situation has been understood.

The person who is not clarifying the voting attitude is 40 percent, and ..proportional representation section.. ..30 percent.. ..weakness.. at the time of the investigation by the small electoral district.
Moreover, the person "It might change the voting ahead according to the situation of the election" descends 25%, and there is a possibility that the situation changes greatly until the last stage, too.
The headquarters executes the investigation that searches for the situation of 300 all small electoral district to a middle electoral campaign.

It chose to become the reduced drawing of the whole country, and 150 electoral districts that had been surveyed this time multiplied two findings and read a nationwide situation.
As for democratic, do a stable war by the small electoral district by many of former jobs and former employments, and furthermore the new face stands dominant and the case to pull the candidate such as the Liberal-Democratic Party apart stands out. 200 seats are passed in the entire small electoral district, and there is a possibility of stacking it more greatly, too.
The proportional representation section is power that exceeds 61 seats of 05 last years drastic by power to expand the seat all of 11 blocks, and reaches 80 seat Daigo half.

The Liberal-Democratic Party has the small electoral district to which a severe war has been compelled in various places even by the minister experienced person. The possibility to fall below 100 seats greatly by the small electoral district is high as a whole. The proportional representation section is decreased from 77 last seats, and it gets to 60 seats or a slight situation.
Last time, democratic is power in the urban electoral district where the Liberal-Democratic Party deprived of a lot of seats when 150 this small electoral districts were classified into "Local type electoral district" "Intermediate type electoral district" "Urban electoral district" 50, 50, and 50 according to the dimension of the electoral district internal city to recapture most, and to extend to 40 middle more than 03 progressing years. The electoral district of a democratic precedence stands out also in the intermediate type electoral district.
 http://www.asahi.com/politics/update/0820/TKY200908190451.html

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